Introduction After the 20% drop in US stock market value, as measured by the S&P 500, the market has recovered about half of its losses following a 90-day pause on tariffs. But is this stock market rally truly trustworthy? The US housing market has been falling since February 2025. You might ask, why compare the stock market to the housing sector? The housing market is a great indicator of liquidity and broader economic conditions....
Using matplotlib and seaborn to make your analysis look professional.
Forecasting UK Inflation with ARIMA and GARCH Models Author: Ruben Singh Phagura Date: April 20, 2025 - May 10, 2025 Abstractions Inflation forecasting is a cornerstone of economic policy, yet its complexity—driven by demand, supply, and external shocks—poses significant challenges. This paper evaluates the efficacy of ARIMA and GARCH models in predicting UK inflation trends and volatility, using historical Consumer Price Index (CPI) and GDP growth data from 2000–2024. The study reviews foundational inflation theories, including demand-pull, cost-push, and monetary policy effects, and applies ARIMA for trend analysis and GARCH for volatility modelling....
Use of Mathematical and Statistical models in Stock Market Prediction. Author: Ruben Singh Phagura Date: April 2, 2025 - April 20, 2025 Abstractions Stock market prediction has long been a challenge due to the complex and seemingly random market price movements. This paper aims to determine whether mathematical or statistical models can reliably predict movements in the stock market or if market movement is inherently random. This study reviews key theoretical foundations, including the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Random Walk Theory, and stochastic processes such as Brownian Motion....